Willys Flashcards Download

Reference

CAS Exam Analytics

How the CAS pathway actually behaves: which sittings graded far from their exam's norm, what candidates sit after each exam and how fast, and how many new ACAS and FCAS designations each New Member List brings. Built from official CAS statistics plus 28,568 passing-list records from the Spring 2017 through Summer 2025 window.

Last updated July 7, 2026 · Source: official CAS exam statistics, passing-candidate lists, and New Member Lists · Look up a name

Pass records
28,568Spring 2017 through Summer 2025
Designation records
7,779May 2017 through May 2026
Candidates observed
10,568by exact listed name
Source documents
128official CAS PDFs parsed

Pass-rate history by exam

Raw pass rates for the CAS pathway exams, 2007 to 2026. Exams 1 and 2 are the jointly used prelims: the SOA administers them as Exam P and Exam FM, so they also appear on the SOA page. Figures for the CAS-administered exams come from the CAS's official exam statistics. Every card links to the full sitting-by-sitting page; the pass-rates hub covers all 74 tracked CAS and SOA exams.

Difficulty shock by sitting

Each sitting's pass rate compared to that exam's own long-run average, in standard deviations. CAS written-answer exams are famous for swingy results; strongly negative values are sittings that graded far below the exam's norm. Computed over stats-eligible sittings since 2011; micro-sittings under 200 candidates are excluded from the tables.

MAS-I Fall 2021: 55.2% (z +1.32)Spring 2022: 50.9% (z +0.72)Fall 2022: 52.1% (z +0.89)Spring 2023: 53.9% (z +1.14)Fall 2023: 47.4% (z +0.23)Spring 2024: 55.3% (z +1.34)Fall 2024: 42.3% (z -0.48)Spring 2025: 42.6% (z -0.44)Summer 2025: 50.0% (z +0.60)Fall 2025: 45.2% (z -0.07)Winter 2026: 50.2% (z +0.62)Spring 2026: 43.4% (z -0.33)
MAS-II Fall 2021: 36.5% (z -1.30)Spring 2022: 51.7% (z +0.08)Fall 2022: 56.5% (z +0.51)Spring 2023: 62.7% (z +1.07)Fall 2023: 65.0% (z +1.28)Spring 2024: 56.9% (z +0.55)Fall 2024: 53.4% (z +0.23)Spring 2025: 53.4% (z +0.23)Summer 2025: 49.9% (z -0.09)Fall 2025: 52.8% (z +0.18)Winter 2026: 53.5% (z +0.24)Spring 2026: 49.4% (z -0.13)
Exam 5 Fall 2020: 55.8% (z +1.96)Spring 2021: 45.8% (z +0.77)Fall 2021: 28.9% (z -1.24)Spring 2022: 36.5% (z -0.34)Fall 2022: 33.7% (z -0.67)Spring 2023: 44.5% (z +0.61)Fall 2023: 33.9% (z -0.65)Spring 2024: 53.2% (z +1.65)Fall 2024: 36.1% (z -0.39)Spring 2025: 38.4% (z -0.11)Fall 2025: 47.9% (z +1.02)Spring 2026: 38.3% (z -0.12)
Exam 6-US Fall 2020: 52.1% (z +1.09)Spring 2021: 38.0% (z -0.51)Fall 2021: 35.6% (z -0.79)Spring 2022: 48.2% (z +0.64)Fall 2022: 30.6% (z -1.35)Spring 2023: 46.8% (z +0.48)Fall 2023: 45.6% (z +0.35)Spring 2024: 61.6% (z +2.16)Fall 2024: 53.6% (z +1.26)Spring 2025: 38.4% (z -0.47)Fall 2025: 30.8% (z -1.33)Spring 2026: 36.4% (z -0.69)
Exam 6-Canada Fall 2020: 42.3% (z +0.43)Spring 2021: 44.3% (z +0.73)Fall 2021: 28.5% (z -1.64)Spring 2022: 32.2% (z -1.09)Fall 2022: 42.5% (z +0.46)Spring 2023: 37.5% (z -0.29)Fall 2023: 37.8% (z -0.25)Spring 2024: 51.2% (z +1.76)Fall 2024: 31.4% (z -1.21)Spring 2025: 41.8% (z +0.35)Fall 2025: 37.7% (z -0.26)Spring 2026: 40.7% (z +0.19)
Exam 7 Spring 2016: 37.5% (z -0.63)Spring 2017: 48.1% (z +0.43)Spring 2018: 38.2% (z -0.56)Spring 2019: 43.2% (z -0.06)Fall 2020: 51.8% (z +0.80)Spring 2021: 41.9% (z -0.19)Spring 2022: 56.4% (z +1.26)Spring 2023: 43.7% (z -0.01)Spring 2024: 57.1% (z +1.33)Spring 2025: 49.1% (z +0.53)Fall 2025: 31.1% (z -1.27)Spring 2026: 23.7% (z -2.00)
Exam 8 Fall 2016: 38.1% (z -0.17)Fall 2017: 39.8% (z +0.09)Fall 2018: 32.9% (z -0.99)Fall 2019: 34.8% (z -0.69)Fall 2020: 37.7% (z -0.24)Spring 2021: 37.9% (z -0.21)Fall 2021: 35.1% (z -0.64)Fall 2022: 37.8% (z -0.22)Fall 2023: 48.2% (z +1.41)Fall 2024: 40.0% (z +0.12)Fall 2025: 45.3% (z +0.95)Spring 2026: 38.4% (z -0.13)
Exam 9 Spring 2015: 40.4% (z -0.96)Spring 2016: 48.8% (z -0.11)Spring 2017: 56.4% (z +0.66)Spring 2018: 52.3% (z +0.25)Spring 2019: 56.2% (z +0.64)Fall 2020: 45.7% (z -0.42)Spring 2021: 57.5% (z +0.77)Spring 2022: 40.9% (z -0.91)Spring 2023: 60.3% (z +1.06)Spring 2024: 74.5% (z +2.49)Spring 2025: 42.7% (z -0.73)Spring 2026: 55.0% (z +0.52)

Toughest sittings vs the exam's own norm

Sittings with the most negative difficulty shock
ExamSittingPass rateCandidatesShock z
Exam 8 Fall 2011 22.2% 418 -2.66
Exam 6-US Fall 2011 19.4% 1,002 -2.62
MAS-I Fall 2018 30.6% 846 -2.12
MAS-I Spring 2019 31.1% 948 -2.05
Exam 7 Spring 2026 23.7% 642 -2.00
Exam 5 Spring 2011 27.3% 653 -1.43
Exam 7 Spring 2013 29.5% 342 -1.43
Exam 6-US Fall 2022 30.6% 428 -1.35
Exam 6-US Fall 2025 30.8% 617 -1.33
Exam 9 Spring 2011 37.0% 958 -1.30

Most generous sittings

Sittings with the most positive difficulty shock
ExamSittingPass rateCandidatesShock z
Exam 9 Spring 2024 74.5% 506 +2.49
Exam 5 Spring 2018 60.2% 928 +2.48
Exam 6-US Spring 2024 61.6% 581 +2.16
Exam 5 Fall 2020 55.8% 929 +1.96
Exam 5 Spring 2024 53.2% 952 +1.65
MAS-II Spring 2021 67.2% 400 +1.48
Exam 8 Fall 2023 48.2% 875 +1.41
Exam 7 Spring 2014 57.7% 300 +1.39
Exam 8 Fall 2014 48.0% 729 +1.38
Exam 8 Fall 2013 47.8% 592 +1.34

What candidates sit next

Directed transitions from each passed CAS exam to the same candidate's next observed CAS pass, from exact-name linkage across the Spring 2017 through Summer 2025 passing lists. Candidates already mid-pathway in 2017 appear from their first in-window pass onward, and passes on the joint SOA prelims are not visible here.

After MAS-I

4,157 observed next-exam transitions

Most common next exams after Exam MAS-I
Next examShareMedian gap
MAS-II 61.2% 6 mo
Exam 5 32.5% 12 mo
Exam 6-US 3.7% 12 mo
Exam 6-Canada 1.0% 12 mo
Exam 7 0.8% 12 mo

After MAS-II

2,034 observed next-exam transitions

Most common next exams after Exam MAS-II
Next examShareMedian gap
Exam 5 71.5% 6 mo
Exam 6-US 17.2% 6 mo
Exam 6-Canada 3.9% 12 mo
Exam 7 3.3% 12 mo
Exam 8 1.6% 6 mo

After Exam 5

3,941 observed next-exam transitions

Most common next exams after Exam 5
Next examShareMedian gap
Exam 6-US 60.2% 12 mo
MAS-II 11.8% 6 mo
MAS-I 10.6% 12 mo
Exam 6-Canada 10.4% 12 mo
Exam 7 4.0% 12 mo

After Exam 6-US

2,091 observed next-exam transitions

Most common next exams after Exam 6-US
Next examShareMedian gap
Exam 7 53.7% 12 mo
Exam 8 26.5% 12 mo
Exam 9 7.2% 12 mo
MAS-II 5.9% 6 mo
MAS-I 3.7% 12 mo

After Exam 7

2,147 observed next-exam transitions

Most common next exams after Exam 7
Next examShareMedian gap
Exam 8 50.0% 6 mo
Exam 9 41.3% 12 mo
Exam 6-Canada 3.9% 6 mo
Exam 6-US 3.4% 6 mo
MAS-I 0.6% 9 mo

After Exam 8

1,833 observed next-exam transitions

Most common next exams after Exam 8
Next examShareMedian gap
Exam 9 59.2% 6 mo
Exam 7 36.4% 6 mo
Exam 6-Canada 1.7% 6 mo
Exam 6-US 1.5% 12 mo
MAS-I 0.7% 6 mo

Momentum after a pass

How quickly candidates who pass each CAS exam show up on another CAS passing list. Because the passing-name window is fixed, each within-N-months share only counts passes that still had N months of window left, so late-window passes cannot drag the rates down.

MAS-II 64.3% 2,437 passes observed
Exam S 60.6% 696 passes observed
Exam 5 58.1% 4,674 passes observed
MAS-I 57.6% 4,887 passes observed
Exam 7 57.6% 2,846 passes observed
Exam 8 56.7% 2,285 passes observed
Exam 6-Canada 47.3% 711 passes observed
Exam 6-US 38.7% 3,167 passes observed
Exam 9 27.5% 2,582 passes observed
Full velocity table (10 exams)
Velocity metrics for every CAS exam
ExamPassesNext pass within 6 mo12 mo24 moMedian months to next
MAS-I 5,842 35.5% 57.6% 77.0% 12
Exam 5 5,326 34.8% 58.1% 75.3% 12
Exam 6-US 3,726 25.2% 38.7% 56.1% 12
MAS-II 3,425 37.3% 64.3% 82.8% 6
Exam 7 3,212 40.6% 57.6% 74.8% 6
Exam 9 2,852 21.6% 27.5% 34.2% 6
Exam 8 2,644 44.4% 56.7% 70.1% 6
Exam 6-Canada 832 29.9% 47.3% 64.2% 12
Exam S 696 35.1% 60.6% 74.1% 12
Exam 6-International 13 30.8% 53.9% 70.0% 12

New ACAS and FCAS designations

Every name on the CAS New Member Lists, May 2017 through May 2026: 4,812 ACAS and 2,964 FCAS conferrals (plus 3 CERA, which the CAS awards rarely). Lists are published around each May and November meeting, and they continue even though passing-candidate names no longer do.

020040060080010002017 ACAS: 5472017 CERA: 32017 FCAS: 27520172018 ACAS: 4992018 CERA: 02018 FCAS: 32020182019 ACAS: 6572019 CERA: 02019 FCAS: 35420192020 ACAS: 2252020 CERA: 02020 FCAS: 7020202021 ACAS: 3462021 CERA: 02021 FCAS: 47720212022 ACAS: 3812022 CERA: 02022 FCAS: 30520222023 ACAS: 4402023 CERA: 02023 FCAS: 32820232024 ACAS: 6252024 CERA: 02024 FCAS: 41920242025 ACAS: 7202025 CERA: 02025 FCAS: 31420252026 ACAS: 3722026 CERA: 02026 FCAS: 1022026
ACAS CERA FCAS

Recent New Member Lists

New designations by member list and designation
ListACASCERAFCAS
May 20263720102
November 20253070234
May 2025413080
November 20243360305
May 20242890114
November 20232470255

Methodology, caveats, and opt-out

Pass-rate and difficulty figures come from the CAS's official Exams Results & Summary of Exam Statistics (2011 to present). Person-level metrics come from 110 official passing-candidate PDFs covering Spring 2017 through Summer 2025 plus 18 New Member Lists: 28,568 pass records and 7,779 designation records across 10,568 listed candidates.

The CAS stopped publishing passing-candidate names with Fall 2025, so the exam window above is fixed and will not grow. Transitions and velocity are computed inside that window only: candidates already mid-pathway in 2017 are seen from their first in-window pass, and the joint SOA-administered prelims are not visible. Records link by exact listed name with conservative middle-name matching, so shared names can merge and changed names can split. There is deliberately no exam-to-FCAS travel-time table here: in a closed window only the fastest journeys are observable, which would overstate everyone's pace. The Actuarial Name Lookup shows honest entry-cohort pace bands instead.

Looking for a specific record? Use the name lookup. If you appear on an official CAS list and want your name withheld from that tool, ask via the contact page; suppression hides a name from search without altering official sources or these aggregates. SOA analytics live on the SOA page.