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Catastrophe Modeling

Catastrophe risk modeling, natural disaster loss estimates, and their implications for P&C insurance pricing and capital.

Recent News

This Year’s SCS Loss Totals Will Fall Below Average: KCC Analysis

Carrier Management

Coupang logistics fire losses could top $230M

Business Insurance

US insured SCS losses estimated to be below average in 2026: KCC

Reinsurance News

Secondary Perils Responsible for Virtually All 2025 Nat-Cat Insured Losses in North America: Swiss Re

Carrier Management

U.S. SCS insured losses projected to be below average in 2026: KCC

Artemis

CatIQ finalises industry loss estimate for 2024 Jasper, Canada wildfires at C$1.30bn

Artemis

Aon estimates global insured catastrophe losses at $47bn for H1 2026

Artemis

Re/insurers seek more advanced PVT risk models for data centres: Synthetik’s Tim Brewer

Reinsurance News

KatRisk Expands Wildfire Risk Modeling

Insurance Innovation Reporter

Catastrophe Losses Stay Below Average In H1 2026, But El Niño’s Impact Carries Hidden Risks

Risk & Insurance

KatRisk expands catastrophe modelling platform with new wildfire risk capabilities

Reinsurance News

July European SCS outbreak to potentially cause losses over a billion euros: Aon

Reinsurance News

As severe thunderstorm plays larger role in ILS, exposure growth & claim severity trends are key: PCS’ White

Artemis

H1 catastrophe losses lowest since 2017: Gallagher Re

Business Insurance

First-half insured cat losses down nearly 50%: Gallagher Re

Business Insurance

Parametric triggers provide vital granularity and certainty against Super El Niño: Rueegg, CelsiusPro

Artemis

CatIQ issues initial loss estimates for June Canadian storms. Confirms final Toronto 2024 flood losses

Artemis

CatIQ issues initial insured loss estimates for June 2026 Canadian storms

Reinsurance News

Perils raises Victoria bushfire loss estimate to $600M

Business Insurance

H1’26 insured nat cat losses land 28% below 10-year average at $46bn, says Gallagher Re

Reinsurance News

Gallagher Re estimates global insured cat losses at $46bn for H1’26, 28% below 10-year average

Artemis

PERILS raises Victoria bushfire insured market loss estimate to AU$860m

Artemis

PERILS lifts Victoria Bushfires insurance loss estimate to AUD 860m

Reinsurance News

Perils reduces January windstorm loss estimate to $535M

Business Insurance

PERILS lowers industry loss estimate for windstorm Goretti to €468m

Reinsurance News

PERILS reduces Windstorm Goretti insured market loss estimate to €468m

Artemis

‘Snow Globe’ Effect, Quiet Cat Years, Super El Niño: Carriers Prepping for a Raucous Second Half

Claims Journal

CSU lowers 2026 Atlantic hurricane forecast further, citing El Niño and wind shear

Artemis

TSR raises hurricane forecast slightly on potential for more favourable sub-tropical conditions

Artemis

Long-term El Niño (ENSO) correlation holds little predictive power for annual property losses: KCC

Artemis
Featured Analysis

Climate Risk and Catastrophe Modeling in 2026: How $107 Billion in Losses Is Reshaping Actuarial Practice

$107B in 2025 insured losses, LA wildfires at $40B, SCS as a $50B peril, California's wildfire cat model revolution, and what it means for actuarial pricing, reserving, and capital modeling.

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The P&C Market Cycle in 2026: From Hard Market to Segmented Softening

Property softening, casualty still hard, cat reinsurance in a buyers' market. Social inflation, nuclear verdicts, and the most segmented P&C market in years.

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