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Live /The Daily Actuary · No. 298 /Sunday, October 25, 2026 /
Featured Analysis · Health

Seven Health Insurers' Reserve Releases Span 3% to 14% of Payables

Prior-year favorable development runs from 3.2% of opening claims payable at UnitedHealth to 13.6% at Oscar in 2026. Against each carrier's own post-COVID run rate, the number is a proxy for the margin held in reserves.

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This Week’s Analysis

One a day, Monday to Friday
  1. MonP&CProgressive Books $1.5B of Reserve Releases as Growth Slows to 4%
  2. TueHealthCMS Finds 44% of MA Directory Listings Deficient, Budgets 708 Requests
  3. WedReinsuranceLATF Asks for PBR Reinsurance Collateral at Standalone Reserves
  4. ThuLife & AnnuitiesUS Mortality Gains Slow to 4% for Men as Ages 25-29 Improve 17.6%
  5. FriHealthSeven Health Insurers' Reserve Releases Span 3% to 14% of Payables

Today's Original Analysis

7 pieces in today's edition
Reinsurance

Berkley Warns Casualty Sidecar Fine Print Decides Who Holds the Tail

W. R. Berkley's CEO told analysts to read casualty sidecar fine print for forced commutation and the security behind it, as AM Best counts over $2 billion raised since 2024 and ties its tail-risk charge to exit terms.
Oct 23
6 min
P&COct 23 · 5 min

Texas Insurers Cite Make and Model in 39% of Auto Declinations

Texas's first HB 2067 auto data puts make and model on 38.8% of Q2 2026 declination notices, 180,283 refusals no rate filing prices, as filed rate decreases reach 4.4 million policyholders.
P&COct 22 · 4 min

Chubb Releases $511M as Commercial Lines Contributes Just $14M

Chubb's third quarter carried $511M of favorable reserve development, but $379M of it came from North America Personal while the commercial book released $14M, shrank 2.7% and saw its underlying loss ratio rise a point.
HealthOct 22 · 4 min

Elevance Lifts Guidance as Its Insurance Margin Falls to 1.0%

Elevance raised 2026 guidance to at least $29.00 on a 16% rise in adjusted EPS, yet Health Benefits operating gain fell 27.5% to a 1.0% margin. Investment income up 66% supplied the beat; claims payable grew 3.5 days.
ReinsuranceOct 22 · 4 min

HCI Pierces a $15M Tower 3 Retention as Isaias Claims Reach $582M

Florida counts 46,509 Isaias claims and $582M of insured loss six days after landfall, 88% still open. HCI says only Tower 3 was hit above a $15M retention, five times the $2.8M treaty retention in its June filing.
Life & AnnuitiesOct 22 · 6 min

US Mortality Gains Slow to 4% for Men as Ages 25-29 Improve 17.6%

SOA 2000-2024 tables show male mortality improvement halving to 4.0% in 2024 from 8.0%, with ages 25 to 29 up a record 17.6% while men 65 and over gained 2.1%, the band annuity and pension reserves depend on.
ReinsuranceOct 21 · 6 min

NAIC Task Force Asks for PBR Reinsurance Collateral at the Ceded Block's Standalone Reserve

An NAIC Life Actuarial Task Force referral open to October 19 would set collateral for PBR business ceded to unauthorized reinsurers at the ceded block's standalone reserve, above the credit aggregation shrinks.
“ W. R. Berkley's CEO told analysts to read casualty sidecar fine print for forced commutation and the security behind it, as AM Best counts over $2 billion raised since 2024 and ties its tail-risk charge to exit terms. — Sam, in today's edition

Earlier This Week

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